2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - INTRO! - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: Focus ONLY on social trust, not governments -->
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: Also, strong early humor. -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: "You guys, it's time for some game theory". -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: "live and let live". -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: it's sometimes RATIONAL to distrust: loop of trust & trustworthiness. -->
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="intro">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
During World War I, peace broke out.
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
It was Christmas 1914 on the Western Front.<br>
|
|
|
|
|
Despite strict orders <i>not</i> to chill out with the enemy, British<br>
|
|
|
|
|
and German soldiers left their trenches, crossed No Man's Land,<br>
|
|
|
|
|
and gathered together to bury their dead, to exchange gifts, to sing.
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Meanwhile: it's 2017, the West has been at peace for decades, and<br>
|
|
|
|
|
we're less trusting than ever. Fewer and fewer people say they trust their<br>
|
|
|
|
|
governments, their media, or even <i>each other</i>. So here's our puzzle:
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<b>Why, even in good times, do friends become enemies?<br>
|
|
|
|
|
And why, even in bad times, do enemies become friends?</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I think game theory can help explain our epidemic of distrust –<br>
|
|
|
|
|
and how we can fix it! So, to understand all this...
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="intro_button">
|
|
|
|
|
...let's play a game. →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - ONE OFF! - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_you_cooperate">
|
|
|
|
|
you<br>cooperate
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_you_cheat">
|
|
|
|
|
you<br>cheat
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_they_cooperate">
|
|
|
|
|
they<br>cooperate
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_they_cheat">
|
|
|
|
|
they<br>cheat
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_you">
|
|
|
|
|
you<br>↙
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_them">
|
|
|
|
|
other player<br>↘
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_0_top">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<b>THE GAME OF TRUST</b>
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
You have one choice.
|
|
|
|
|
In front of you is a machine: if you put a coin in the machine,
|
|
|
|
|
the <i>other player</i> gets three coins – and vice versa.
|
|
|
|
|
You both can either choose to COOPERATE (put in coin), or CHEAT (don't put in coin).
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_0_btm">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Let's say the other player cheats, and doesn't put in a coin.<br>
|
|
|
|
|
What should you do?
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_1_cheated">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Exactly! Why let that moocher mooch off of you?
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_1_cooperated">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Alas, turning the other cheek just gets you slapped!
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_1_top">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
If you cooperate & they cheat, you lose a coin while they gain three. (score: -1 vs +3)
|
|
|
|
|
However, if you both cheat, neither of you gain or lose anything. (score: 0 vs 0)
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Therefore: you should CHEAT.</b>
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_1_btm">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
But let's say the other player cooperates, and puts in a coin.<br>
|
|
|
|
|
What should you do now?
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_2_cheated">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Wow, that's mean... and also the correct answer!
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_2_cooperated">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Sure, seems like the right thing to do... <i>OR IS IT??</i>
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_2_top">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Because if you both cooperate, you both give up a coin to gain three. (score: +2 vs +2)
|
|
|
|
|
But if you cheat & they cooperate, you gain three coins at their cost of one. (score: +3 vs -1)
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Therefore: you "should" still CHEAT.</b>
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_2_btm">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
And <i>that's</i> the dilemma of trust.
|
|
|
|
|
You'd both be better off trusting each other, but trust leaves you vulnerable.
|
|
|
|
|
But what happens if we can...
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="oneoff_button_next">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
...play more than once? →
|
2017-07-10 18:06:22 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - ITERATED - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- TO DO: WEAVE IN MORE ABOUT TRENCHES. "CHOOSE WISELY" -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_intro_top">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Now, let's play for real.</b><br>
|
|
|
|
|
You'll be playing against 5 different opponents, each with their own "personality".
|
|
|
|
|
With each opponent, you'll play anywhere between 3 to 7 rounds.
|
|
|
|
|
Can you trust them? Or rather... can they trust <i>you?</i>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_intro_btm">
|
|
|
|
|
Choose your first, <b>real</b> move:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-13 18:49:49 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_info_1">
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
opponent: [X] of [Y]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-13 18:49:49 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_info_2">
|
|
|
|
|
your total score:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_start">
|
|
|
|
|
And your total score is...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_1">
|
|
|
|
|
which is, wow, actually <i>impressively</i> bad.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_2">
|
|
|
|
|
which, uh, could be worse!
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_3">
|
|
|
|
|
which ain't bad!
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_4">
|
|
|
|
|
which is pretty good!
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_5">
|
|
|
|
|
which is <i>perfect!</i> Congrats you have too much time on your hands.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_x">
|
|
|
|
|
...i have no idea how you did that.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="iterated_score_end">
|
|
|
|
|
(the lowest & highest possible scores are 8 and 49, respectively)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="who_were">
|
|
|
|
|
So who were these strange characters you just played against?
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>COPYCAT:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
Hello! I start with Cooperate, and afterwards, I just copy whatever you did in the last round. Meow
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>ALWAYS CHEAT:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<i>the strong shall eat the weak</i>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>ALWAYS COOPERATE:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
Let's be best friends! <3
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_grudge">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>GRUDGER:</b>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Listen, pardner. I'll start cooperatin', and keep cooperation',
|
|
|
|
|
but if y'all ever cheat me, I'LL CHEAT YOU BACK 'TIL THE END OF TARNATION.
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_prober">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>DETECTIVE:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
First: I analyze you. I start: Cooperate, Cheat, Cooperate, Cooperate.
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
If you cheat back, I'll act like <span class="tft">Copycat</span>.
|
|
|
|
|
If you never cheat back, I'll act like <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span>, to exploit you.
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Elementary, my dear Watson.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="characters_teaser">
|
|
|
|
|
Now, what if these characters were to play...
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="characters_button">
|
2017-07-13 15:07:33 +00:00
|
|
|
|
...against each other? →
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-15 02:29:31 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - TOURNAMENT! - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="place_your_bets">
|
|
|
|
|
It's tournament time!
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Each character will now play against every other character:
|
|
|
|
|
that's 10 paired matches, and 10 rounds per match.
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Who do you think will get the highest <i>total</i> score?
|
|
|
|
|
Think carefully about it, and then<br>
|
|
|
|
|
<b>PLACE YOUR BETS:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_intro">
|
|
|
|
|
Alright, you placed your bet on [CHAR]!
|
|
|
|
|
Let's go through the matches one by one, and see how the tournament plays out...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="first_match">
|
|
|
|
|
first match →
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="next_match">
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
next match →
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="match_header_1">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Match #[N]:</b> [A] vs [B]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="match_header_2">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Rounds:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="match_header_3">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>Total Scores:</b> [A] vs [B]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_1">
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_2">
|
|
|
|
|
Oh, by the way...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_3">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_4">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_5">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_6">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_7">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_8">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_9">
|
|
|
|
|
[trench live & let live stuff]
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_10">
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway -- and the winner is...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="the_winner_is">
|
|
|
|
|
(drumroll please...) →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_winner_1">
|
|
|
|
|
<b class="tft">COPYCAT!</b>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_winner_2_yay">
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Congrats, you placed your bet on the right horse.
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_winner_2_nay">
|
|
|
|
|
(Sorry, [CHAR].)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_winner_3">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="tft">Copycat</span> goes by many names.
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
The Golden Rule, reciprocal altruism, tit for tat, or... <b>live and let live.</b>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
That's why "peace" could emerge in the trenches of World War I:
|
|
|
|
|
when you're forced to play the same game with the
|
|
|
|
|
same <i>specific people</i> (not just the same generic "enemy") over and over again --
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="tft">Copycat</span> doesn't just win the battle, it wins the war.
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
But if things change a lot when you play multiple rounds of the same game, what if we play...
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="tournament_teaser">
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
...multiple <i>tournaments?</i> →
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - EVOLUTION! - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro">
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Now, let's let our population of players <i>evolve over time</i>. It's a 3-step dance:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro_1">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>1. PLAY A TOURNAMENT</b><br>
|
|
|
|
|
Let them all play against each other, and tally up their scores.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro_2">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>2. ELIMINATE LOSERS</b><br>
|
|
|
|
|
Get rid of the 5 worst players. (if there's a tie, pick randomly between them)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro_3">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>3. REPRODUCE WINNERS</b><br>
|
|
|
|
|
Clone the 5 best players. (if there's a tie, pick randomly between them)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro_footer">
|
|
|
|
|
...and REPEAT, for as long as you'd like.
|
|
|
|
|
Note: you don't have to wait for people to literally die & reproduce for culture to evolve --
|
|
|
|
|
all that's needed is that "unsuccessful" behaviors go away, and "successful" behaviors are imitated.
|
|
|
|
|
So now...
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evolution_intro_button">
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
...let's see this in action. →
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_1">
|
|
|
|
|
Say we start with the following population of players:
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_c">15 Always Cooperates</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">5 Always Cheats</span>, and
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="tft">5 Copycats</span>.
|
|
|
|
|
(We'll ignore <span class="grudge">Grudger</span> & <span class="prober">Detective</span> for now)
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
We're going to do the tournament-eliminate-reproduce dance a dozen times or so.
|
|
|
|
|
Let's make another bet! Who do you think will win the <i>first</i> tournament?
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_2_all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
Makes sense, <span class="all_c">Always Cooperate</span> outnumbers everyone else right now...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_2_all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
Makes sense, <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span> has a lot of <span class="all_c">Always Cooperates</span> to exploit...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_2_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
Makes sense, <span class="tft">Copycat</span> won the tournament last time, why not again?...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_2">
|
|
|
|
|
Let's see if you're correct:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_play_tournament">
|
|
|
|
|
1) play tournament
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_eliminate_bottom_5">
|
|
|
|
|
2) eliminate bottom 5
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_reproduce_top_5">
|
|
|
|
|
3) reproduce top 5
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_3_all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
Alas, <span class="all_c">Always Cooperate</span> got eaten up by
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span>, whose numbers have now increased by 5.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_3_all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
Sadly, you were correct! The <span class="all_d">Always Cheaters</span> won this time,
|
|
|
|
|
and their numbers increased by 5.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_3_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
Alas, <span class="tft">Copycat</span> did not win – but at least they didn't do as bad
|
|
|
|
|
as <span class="all_c">Always Cooperate</span>, who got eaten up by <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
whose numbers have now increased by 5.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_3">
|
|
|
|
|
But let's try a few more rounds of this...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_4">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span> is still growing,
|
|
|
|
|
at the expense of <span class="all_c">Always Cooperate</span>...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_5">
|
|
|
|
|
And now, all the <span class="all_c">Always Cooperates</span> are dead.
|
|
|
|
|
But, wait...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_6">
|
|
|
|
|
That's right: the <span class="all_d">Always Cheats</span> became a victim of their own success!
|
|
|
|
|
They exploited the naive <span class="all_c">Always Cooperaters</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
but once they ran out of them, they had to face the <span class="tft">Copycats</span>:
|
|
|
|
|
who <i>are</i> nice, but not naive.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: Freeman-Dyson???? -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: (other strategies will be introduced later) -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_7">
|
|
|
|
|
By simply copying the other player's moves,
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="tft">Copycats</span> can play nice with each other,
|
|
|
|
|
while <span class="all_d">Always Cheats</span> just cheat themselves.
|
|
|
|
|
Not only that, but it also means <span class="tft">Copycat</span>
|
|
|
|
|
can give <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span>
|
|
|
|
|
a taste of their own medicine.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_8">
|
|
|
|
|
And so, as a result...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9">
|
|
|
|
|
...<span class="tft">Copycat</span> inherits the earth.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9_all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
So, although your bet was off -- the nice-but-naive <span class="all_c">Always Cooperaters</span>
|
|
|
|
|
were doomed from the start -- in the end, a <i>smart</i> form of niceness prevailed,
|
|
|
|
|
and the <span class="all_d">Always Cheaters</span> were squashed.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9_all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
So, in the short run you were right - <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span> won the first few rounds,
|
|
|
|
|
but in the end, its exploitativeness was its downfall.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
So, in the long run, you were right - <span class="tft">Copycat</span> wins!
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span> may have won in the short run,
|
|
|
|
|
but its exploitativeness was its downfall.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9_end">
|
|
|
|
|
This reminds me of a quote:
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
<i>"We are punished by our sins, not for them."</i><br>
|
|
|
|
|
~ Elbert Hubbard
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_9_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
(oh, and by the way...)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_10">
|
|
|
|
|
(...this result is similar even if we put
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="grudge">Grudger</span> & <span class="prober">Detective</span> back in:)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_autoplay">
|
|
|
|
|
start the evolution process!
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_autoplay_stop">
|
|
|
|
|
stop the evolution process
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- More reference to game theory earlier? -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- TODO: More "me" and "I"??? -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_10_followup">
|
|
|
|
|
(Note: occasionally, a few <span class="grudge">Grudgers</span> may stick around,
|
|
|
|
|
because when all players except <span class="grudge">Grudger</span> & <span class="tft">Copycat</span>
|
|
|
|
|
are eliminated, the two tie.)
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
So, it seems the math of game theory is telling us something:
|
|
|
|
|
that <span class="tft">Copycat's</span> philosophy,
|
|
|
|
|
"Do unto others as you would have them do unto you", may be not just a
|
|
|
|
|
<i>moral</i> truth, but also a <i>mathematical</i> truth.
|
|
|
|
|
However...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_10_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...there's a problem: →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_11">
|
|
|
|
|
There are jerks. Look around.
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
If <span class="tft">Copycat</span> is the strategy in this repeated game of trust that's so powerful --
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
that even soldiers in World War I trenches independently "evolved" a similar strategy, called "live and let live" --
|
|
|
|
|
why, then, are there so many un-trusting, un-trustworthy people?
|
|
|
|
|
What's causing our epidemic of un-trust?
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
A clue's in that sentence itself. "In <i>this</i> repeated game of trust."
|
|
|
|
|
So far we've only talked about change in the players:
|
|
|
|
|
what about <i>a change in the game?</i>
|
|
|
|
|
What could lead to...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="evo_11_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...the evolution of <i>distrust?</i>
|
2017-07-12 21:46:38 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - DISTRUST - - - - - - -->
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_1">
|
|
|
|
|
Before everything goes to heck: let's start with something nice.
|
|
|
|
|
A world, mostly populated by nice <span class="tft">Copycats</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
with only one each of a
|
|
|
|
|
mean <span class="all_d">Always Cheat</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
naive <span class="all_c">Always Cooperate</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
unforgiving <span class="grudge">Grudger</span>, and
|
|
|
|
|
manipulative <span class="prober">Detective</span>.
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
Use the buttons on the right to <b>start</b> the simulation,
|
|
|
|
|
go through it <b>step-by-step</b>, or <b>restart</b> it. →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_2">
|
|
|
|
|
Under our current rules, <span class="tft">Copycat</span> wins easily.
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
But that's under our <i>current</i> rules, which say that
|
|
|
|
|
players play against each other 10 rounds per match.
|
|
|
|
|
What if players had to play 20 rounds? 5 rounds? 3 rounds? 1 round?
|
|
|
|
|
Use the slider below to change this rule, <b>start</b> the simulation,
|
|
|
|
|
and see what happens – then repeat this for as many numbers as you'd like to experiment with:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_2_end">
|
|
|
|
|
(when you're done, press:)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_3">
|
|
|
|
|
As you just saw, if you play enough rounds, <span class="tft">Copycat</span> still wins...
|
|
|
|
|
but when people play with each other less and less... suddenly, // HOW MUCH?
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">ALWAYS CHEAT</span> dominates once again.
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
In 1985, when Americans were asked how many close friends they had,
|
|
|
|
|
the most common answer was "three". In 2004, the most common answer was <i>"zero"</i>.
|
|
|
|
|
Furthermore, we're also (relatively) less likely to
|
|
|
|
|
get married, volunteer, go to church, join organizations, or participate in local politics.
|
|
|
|
|
We're losing our "social capital".
|
|
|
|
|
And as you discovered for yourself just now,
|
|
|
|
|
<b>the fewer "repeat interactions" there are, the more distrust will spread.</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
(and no, mass media doesn't count:
|
|
|
|
|
it has to be repeat <i>two-way</i> interactions between <i>specific individuals</i>.)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_3_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
oh, it gets worse... →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_4">
|
|
|
|
|
There's another way to breed distrust.
|
|
|
|
|
Here are the "payoffs" for a single round of the trust game:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_4_end">
|
|
|
|
|
Note: although the reward for mutual trust (+2) is less than the temptation to exploit (+3),
|
|
|
|
|
with enough repeat interaction, trust can still win!
|
|
|
|
|
But now, <b>click the arrows above to change the reward from +2 to +1,
|
|
|
|
|
then click "start".</b>
|
|
|
|
|
Even though +1 is still more than the punishment for mutual distrust (0)...
|
|
|
|
|
what happens?
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
(<i>after</i> you try that, feel free to play around with different "payoff" combinations!
|
|
|
|
|
once you're done experimenting, hit:)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_4_note">
|
|
|
|
|
(simulating: 5 rounds per match)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_5">
|
|
|
|
|
So even if the reward for getting a "win-win" is still <i>more</i>
|
|
|
|
|
than the punishment for a "lose-lose"...
|
|
|
|
|
<b>if the reward for mutual trust is <i>too</i> low, distrust evolves.</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
I think, as a culture, we're losing the value of finding "win-wins".
|
|
|
|
|
We're more interested in "win-lose", because viciousness gets views, conflict gets clicks.
|
|
|
|
|
We'd rather live and let die.
|
|
|
|
|
Maybe I'm just overthinking things, maybe I'm just old and shaking my fist at a cloud...
|
|
|
|
|
but don't you feel it? That we've forgotten something?...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_5_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...whatevs i dunno →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_6">
|
|
|
|
|
Aaaaanyway, you can now play with both the number of rounds <i>and</i> the payoffs!
|
|
|
|
|
These two things interact with each other a lot.
|
|
|
|
|
For example, even though a low +1 reward creates distrust with 5 rounds per match,
|
|
|
|
|
trust can still win with <i>10</i> rounds per match! (Click <b>START</b> to simulate this)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_6_end">
|
|
|
|
|
Once you're done experimenting,
|
|
|
|
|
(and there'll be a <i>much</i> bigger "sandbox" to play around with at the end)
|
|
|
|
|
let's take a look at our final, most interesting barrier to trust...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="distrust_6_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
<strikethrough>Misteaks</strikethrough> Mistakes. →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - NOISE! - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_1">
|
|
|
|
|
As cool as <span class="tft">Copycat</span> is, it has a huge, fatal weakness I haven't mentioned yet.
|
|
|
|
|
To understand it, let's imagine two <span class="tft">Copycats</span> are playing against each other:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_1_end">
|
|
|
|
|
Being a nice player, both their first moves will be:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_2">
|
|
|
|
|
And normally, they'd just pay back each others' kindness and sing Kumbaya 'til the end of days.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_2_end">
|
|
|
|
|
But what if, while trying to reciprocate...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_3">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>OH NO</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
Mistakes, miscommunication, misinterpretations -- accidents happen all the time in real life.
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_3_end">
|
|
|
|
|
But if the other person doesn't <i>think</i> it was an accident...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_4">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>OH NO x2</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
The other player, being a <span class="tft">Copycat</span>, <i>had<i> to retaliate...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_4_end">
|
|
|
|
|
...and you, being a <span class="tft">Copycat</span> as well, will <i>also</i> have to retaliate...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_5">
|
|
|
|
|
And like the Hatfields and McCoys, or the Crips and Bloods,
|
|
|
|
|
these two <span class="tft">Copycats</span> will spiral into an endless feud of vengeance...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_5_end">
|
|
|
|
|
...that started over a <i>single</i> mistake, long forgotten.
|
|
|
|
|
<br><br>
|
|
|
|
|
How tragic. But now, are there other characters, types of players, who can...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_5_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...survive mistakes? →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_characters">
|
|
|
|
|
Let's meet some new faces!
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_tf2t">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>COPYKITTEN:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
Hello! I'm like <span class="tft">Copycat</span>,
|
|
|
|
|
except I Cheat back only after you Cheat me twice in a row.
|
|
|
|
|
After all, the first one could be a mistake! Purrrrr
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_pavlov">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>SIMPLETON:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
hi i try start cooperate. (unless i make mistake)
|
|
|
|
|
if you cooperate back => good thing => i do same thing as last move. (even if it was mistake)
|
|
|
|
|
if you cheat back => bad thing => i do opposite thing as last move. (even if it was mistake)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="character_random">
|
|
|
|
|
<b>RANDOM:</b>
|
|
|
|
|
<i>Monkey robot! Ninja pizza tacos! lol i'm so random</i>
|
|
|
|
|
(Just plays Cheat or Cooperate randomly with a 50/50 chance)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_characters_end">
|
|
|
|
|
Alright, let's see how well these peeps do when they...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="noise_characters_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...play against each other →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- fixed 5% chance: winner simpleton, then copykitten -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- Need to simulate first to write words, i dunno -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- (Recap distrust) nonlinear barrier: from 0% to 5% to etc etc... -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- MIS-COMMUNICATION & OVER-PUNISHMENT in real life -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- How's this all interact? Finally, the SANDBOX. -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - SANDBOX! - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
2017-06-26 19:52:49 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_population">
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Start off with this distribution of players:
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_payoffs">
|
|
|
|
|
The payoffs in a one-on-one game are:
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-28 20:28:15 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_reset_payoffs">
|
|
|
|
|
reset payoffs
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!--
|
|
|
|
|
When translating the following, keep the "[N]", with square brackets,
|
|
|
|
|
as a placeholder for the number. Some of these need double-translations,
|
|
|
|
|
one for the plural version, one for the singular version.
|
|
|
|
|
-->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_rules_1">
|
|
|
|
|
Play [N] rounds per one-on-one game
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_rules_1_single">
|
|
|
|
|
Play [N] round per one-on-one game
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_rules_2">
|
|
|
|
|
After each tournament, eliminate the bottom [N] players & reproduce the top [N] players
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_rules_2_single">
|
|
|
|
|
After each tournament, eliminate the bottom [N] player & reproduce the top [N] player
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_rules_3">
|
2017-06-28 20:28:15 +00:00
|
|
|
|
In each round of a one-on-one game, there's a [N]% chance a player makes a mistake
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_end">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
...once you're done playing around, let's recap
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="sandbox_end_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
what we've learnt →
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - CONCLUSION! - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="conclusion_1">
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TRUST:
|
|
|
|
|
- repeated interaction:
|
|
|
|
|
- win-win:
|
|
|
|
|
- dealing with mistakes: forgive, and try to be clear and honest yourself
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DISTRUST:
|
|
|
|
|
- loss of social capital
|
|
|
|
|
- win-lose, use versus them, zero-sum
|
|
|
|
|
- gleefully punishing even small mistakes
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
But above all, there's also...
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="conclusion_btn">
|
|
|
|
|
...the bigger lesson →
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="conclusion_2">
|
|
|
|
|
Don't hate the player, hate the game.
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
Game theory lesson.
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
Short term: game changes players. But don't be cynical
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
Long term: players change game, from the bottom up -- evolution.
|
|
|
|
|
<br>
|
|
|
|
|
So if we wanna cure our epidemic of distrust,
|
|
|
|
|
and rebuild a trusting & trustworthy civic society, it's up to all of <i>us.</i>
|
|
|
|
|
Let's all learn and act to find win-wins,
|
|
|
|
|
to create repeated interactions,
|
|
|
|
|
(and...)
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="conclusion_2">
|
|
|
|
|
...to live and let live.
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- the christmas truce pic/photo(?) circular pic... words overlaid -->
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="conclusion_button">
|
|
|
|
|
<3
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - CREDITS! - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - FEETNOTES - - - - - - -->
|
2017-07-12 21:24:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - THE PLAYERS - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_tft">Copycat</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
copycat
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="icon_tft">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="tft">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon"></span>
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon_label">Copycat</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</span>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_all_d">Always Cheat</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_all_d">
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
cheater
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="icon_all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_d">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon"></span>
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon_label">All Cheat</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</span>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_all_c">Always Cooperate</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_all_c">
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
cooperater
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="icon_all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="all_c">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon"></span>
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon_label">All Cooperate</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</span>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_grudge">Grudger</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_grudge">
|
|
|
|
|
grudger
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="icon_grudge">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="grudge">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon"></span>
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon_label">Grudger</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</span>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_prober">Detective</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_prober">
|
|
|
|
|
detective
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="icon_prober">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="prober">
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon"></span>
|
|
|
|
|
<span class="icon_label">Detective</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</span>
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_tf2t">
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Copykitten
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_tf2t">
|
|
|
|
|
copykitten
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_pavlov">
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
Simpleton
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_pavlov">
|
2017-07-10 15:38:20 +00:00
|
|
|
|
simpleton
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_random">
|
|
|
|
|
Lol So Random
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-29 02:12:32 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_short_random">
|
|
|
|
|
random
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - SMALL LABELS! - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_cooperate">
|
|
|
|
|
cooperate
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_cheat">
|
|
|
|
|
cheat
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_play">
|
|
|
|
|
play
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 20:28:15 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_stop">
|
|
|
|
|
stop
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017-06-28 14:53:43 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_step">
|
|
|
|
|
step
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_reset">
|
|
|
|
|
reset
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_population">
|
|
|
|
|
population
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_payoffs">
|
|
|
|
|
payoffs
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_rules">
|
|
|
|
|
rules
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-06-26 19:52:49 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
2017-07-12 21:46:38 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="label_next">
|
2017-07-17 19:39:26 +00:00
|
|
|
|
next →
|
2017-07-12 21:46:38 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - NAVIGATING CHAPTERS - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_intro">
|
|
|
|
|
0. Introduction
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_oneoff">
|
|
|
|
|
1. One Game
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_iterated">
|
|
|
|
|
2. Repeated Game
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_tournament">
|
|
|
|
|
3. One Tournament
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_evolution">
|
|
|
|
|
4. Repeated Tournament
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_distrust">
|
|
|
|
|
5. The Evolution of Distrust
|
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_noise">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
6. Making Mistaeks
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_sandbox">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
7. Sandbox Mode
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_conclusion">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
8. Conclusion
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|
|
|
|
|
<p id="chapter_credits">
|
2017-07-17 22:32:02 +00:00
|
|
|
|
9. Credits
|
2017-07-12 13:42:17 +00:00
|
|
|
|
</p>
|